ecoglobe - Limits
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In July 1970 an international research team at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (USA) began a study of the effects and limits of continued world-wide growth. This study was commissioned by The Club of Rome as part of their Project on the Predicament of Mankind. The non-technical report of their findings - "The Limits to Growth" - is a calm and masterfully coherent survey of mankind's problems and options. The MIT team carefully studied the the fundamental limits to growth in global population, agriculture, resource use, industry, and pollution. It shows how these factors interact with each other. They concluded that, even under the most optimistic assumptions about advances in technology, the world cannot support present rates of economic and population growth for more than a few decades from now. By simulating the behaviour of the world in a large scale computer model, the MIT researchers also show that only by a concerted attack on all the major problems at once can humankind achieve the status of equilibrium necessary for our survival. [text adapted from the back flap of "The Limits to Growth", 1972, Meadows, Denis L., Meadows, Donella H., Randers, Jørgen, Behrens III, William W., London: Earth Island Limited.]
The book became a bestseller in many languages. It was hailed by environmentalists. For economists it became their best-hated book. Some of the predictions were either too precise or they were misinterpreted by the critics.
But the world has taken little notice. Today, at the end of the 20th century, people talk about the "new millennium" and continued growth is the one and only paradigm of our business and political leaders.
Question: What do we do about it?
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22OCT99ecoglobe | |||